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HUN Ungarn - NB I · Round 5 ·

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.29 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr44%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr30%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Debreceni VSCMTK Budapest
Expected goals3.29Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
44% / 26% / 30%KampresultatHjemmesejr44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dobbeltchance1273.9%1.35
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Begge hold scorerJa64%1.56
3.29 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Debreceni VSC win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp
Uafgjort26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
MTK Budapest win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Debreceni VSC1.91

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals3.29Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

MTK Budapest1.38

Ude share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Debreceni VSC

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Ude-context · form sequence

MTK Budapest

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalUde unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vundet probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.91
Expected goals
1.38
Debreceni VSCMTK Budapest
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Debreceni VSC signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MTK Budapest signalUde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Debreceni VSC vundet 44%,Uafgjort 26%,MTK Budapest vundet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over