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INT Équateur - LigaPro - Série A · Match ·

Manta FC vs Barcelone Guayaquil

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile21%
Nul33%
Victoire à l’extérieur47%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Manta FCBarcelone Guayaquil
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de74% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
21% / 33% / 47%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Manta FC win (20.7%)Double chanceX279.3%1.26
Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%Goals 2.5Moins de74%1.35
Oui 30% · Non 70%Les deux équipes marquentNon70%1.43
1.78 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Manta FC win21%4.76
Nul33%3.03
Barcelone Guayaquil win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Manta FC0.55

Domicile share of expected goals 30.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%

Barcelone Guayaquil1.23

Extérieur share of expected goals 69.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 30% · Non 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Manta FC

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Barcelone Guayaquil

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Gagné probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
8
0.55
Expected goals
1.23
Manta FCBarcelone Guayaquil
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Manta FC signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barcelone Guayaquil signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Manta FC vs Barcelone Guayaquil FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Manta FC victoire 21%,Nul 33%,Barcelone Guayaquil victoire 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Plus de 2.5 26% · Current selection Moins de