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USA États-Unis - NWSL - Femmes · Match ·

Chicago Stars (F) vs Bay FC (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile24%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur50%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Chicago Stars (F)Bay FC (F)
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
24% / 25% / 50%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chicago Stars (F) win (24.4%)Double chanceX275.6%1.32
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapBay FC (F) winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chicago Stars (F) win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Nul25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Bay FC (F) win50%2.001.7551%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chicago Stars (F)1.01

Domicile share of expected goals 43%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

Bay FC (F)1.34

Extérieur share of expected goals 57%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Chicago Stars (F)

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Bay FC (F)

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Gagné probability excluding draw
50%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.01
Expected goals
1.34
Chicago Stars (F)Bay FC (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chicago Stars (F) signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bay FC (F) signalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Chicago Stars (F) vs Bay FC (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chicago Stars (F) victoire 24%,Nul 25%,Bay FC (F) victoire 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de