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INT France Ligue 3 · Match ·

Caen vs Valenciennes

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile41%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CaenValenciennes
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Non corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
41% / 28% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%Goals 2.5Moins de52%1.92
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNon corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caen win41%2.442.2540.5%
Nul28%3.573.2528%
Valenciennes win31%3.232.9031.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caen1.40

Domicile share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%

Valenciennes1.18

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Caen

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Valenciennes

2.33pts / match
Joués3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.40
Expected goals
1.18
CaenValenciennes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caen signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valenciennes signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Caen vs Valenciennes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caen victoire 41%,Nul 28%,Valenciennes victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Plus de 2.5 48% · Current selection Moins de