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INT France Ligue 3 · Spiel ·

Caen vs Valenciennes

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg30%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score1–1CaenValenciennes
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nein corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 26% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Doppelte Chance1274%1.35
Über 48% · Unter 52%Goals 2.5Unter52%1.92
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.60 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
0.0 expected match cornersEckenNein corner projection
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Caen win44%2.27
Unentschieden26%3.85
Valenciennes win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caen1.45

Heim share of expected goals 55.8%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 48% · Unter 52%

Valenciennes1.15

Auswärts share of expected goals 44.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Caen

1.75pts / match
Gespielt4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/4

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Valenciennes

2.33pts / match
Gespielt3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Punkte7

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 3/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.45
Expected goals
1.15
CaenValenciennes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caen signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valenciennes signalAuswärts unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Caen vs Valenciennes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caen Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 26%,Valenciennes Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Über 2.5 48% · Current selection Unter