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HRV Croatie - HNL · Final ·

HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–2Pronostic 1–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile21%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur53%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur53% selection probability
Projected score1–2HNK GoricaHajduk Split
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
21% / 26% / 53%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Gorica win (21.2%)Double chanceX278.8%1.27
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HNK Gorica win21%4.764.3321.3%-0.3 pp
Nul26%3.853.6025.6%+0.4 pp
Hajduk Split win53%1.891.7353.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HNK Gorica0.93

Domicile share of expected goals 36.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Hajduk Split1.59

Extérieur share of expected goals 63.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

HNK Gorica

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Hajduk Split

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Gagné probability excluding draw
53%
3
Points from supplied form
7
0.93
Expected goals
1.59
HNK GoricaHajduk Split
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HNK Gorica signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hajduk Split signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HNK Gorica victoire 21%,Nul 26%,Hajduk Split victoire 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de