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HRV Kroatien - HNL · Final ·

HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–2Prognose 1–2
Ude form
Hjemmesejr21%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr53%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr53% selection probability
Projected score1–2HNK GoricaHajduk Split
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
21% / 26% / 53%KampresultatUdesejr53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Gorica win (21.2%)DobbeltchanceX278.8%1.27
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Begge hold scorerNej51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HNK Gorica win21%4.764.3321.3%-0.3 pp
Uafgjort26%3.853.6025.6%+0.4 pp
Hajduk Split win53%1.891.7353.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HNK Gorica0.93

Hjemme share of expected goals 36.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Hajduk Split1.59

Ude share of expected goals 63.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

HNK Gorica

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Hajduk Split

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Vundet probability excluding draw
53%
3
Points from supplied form
7
0.93
Expected goals
1.59
HNK GoricaHajduk Split
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HNK Gorica signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hajduk Split signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HNK Gorica vundet 21%,Uafgjort 26%,Hajduk Split vundet 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under