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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Match ·

HJK Helsinki vs IF Gnistan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.72 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile55%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile55% selection probability
Projected score2–1HJK HelsinkiIF Gnistan
Expected goals3.72Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de72% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
55% / 23% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IF Gnistan win (21.4%)Double chance1X78.6%1.27
Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%Goals 2.5Plus de72%1.39
Oui 69% · Non 31%Les deux équipes marquentOui69%1.45
3.72 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HJK Helsinki win55%1.821.6555.4%-0.4 pp
Nul23%4.353.9023.5%-0.5 pp
IF Gnistan win21%4.764.3321.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HJK Helsinki2.25

Domicile share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals3.72Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%

IF Gnistan1.47

Extérieur share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 69% · Non 31%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

HJK Helsinki

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

IF Gnistan

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.25
Expected goals
1.47
HJK HelsinkiIF Gnistan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HJK Helsinki signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Gnistan signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

HJK Helsinki vs IF Gnistan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HJK Helsinki victoire 55%,Nul 23%,IF Gnistan victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.72 · Plus de 2.5 72% · Current selection Plus de