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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Mäng ·

HJK Helsinki vs IF Gnistan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–13.72 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit55%
Viik23%
Võõrsilvõit21%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit55% selection probability
Projected score2–1HJK HelsinkiIF Gnistan
Expected goals3.72Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle72% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
55% / 23% / 21%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IF Gnistan win (21.4%)Topeltvõimalus1X78.6%1.27
Üle 72% · Alla 28%Goals 2.5Üle72%1.39
Jah 69% · Ei 31%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah69%1.45
3.72 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
10.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HJK Helsinki win55%1.821.6555.4%-0.4 pp
Viik23%4.353.9023.5%-0.5 pp
IF Gnistan win21%4.764.3321.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HJK Helsinki2.25

Kodu share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals3.72Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 72% · Alla 28%

IF Gnistan1.47

Võõras share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 69% · Ei 31%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

HJK Helsinki

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

IF Gnistan

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Võit probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.25
Expected goals
1.47
HJK HelsinkiIF Gnistan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HJK Helsinki signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Gnistan signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

HJK Helsinki vs IF Gnistan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HJK Helsinki võit 55%,Viik 23%,IF Gnistan võit 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.72 · Üle 2.5 72% · Current selection Üle