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DNK Danemark - Superligaen · Match ·

Randers FC vs AGF Aarhus

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.57 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile18%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur56%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Randers FCAGF Aarhus
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
18% / 26% / 56%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Randers FC win (18%)Double chanceX282%1.22
Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%Goals 2.5Moins de53%1.89
Oui 43% · Non 57%Les deux équipes marquentNon57%1.75
2.57 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Randers FC win18%5.56
Nul26%3.85
AGF Aarhus win56%1.79

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Randers FC0.69

Domicile share of expected goals 26.8%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%

AGF Aarhus1.88

Extérieur share of expected goals 73.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 43% · Non 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Randers FC

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AGF Aarhus

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Gagné probability excluding draw
56%
7
Points from supplied form
3
0.69
Expected goals
1.88
Randers FCAGF Aarhus
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Randers FC signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AGF Aarhus signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Randers FC vs AGF Aarhus FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Randers FC victoire 18%,Nul 26%,AGF Aarhus victoire 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Plus de 2.5 47% · Current selection Moins de