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ROU Roumanie - Liga 1 · Match ·

UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucarest

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.53 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur36%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile36% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTA AradRapid Bucarest
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 29% / 36%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Double chance1271.2%1.40
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.53 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapRapid Bucarest winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UTA Arad win36%2.782.5035.9%+0.1 pp
Nul29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Rapid Bucarest win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTA Arad1.18

Domicile share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Rapid Bucarest1.35

Extérieur share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

UTA Arad

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Rapid Bucarest

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.18
Expected goals
1.35
UTA AradRapid Bucarest
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTA Arad signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rapid Bucarest signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucarest FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTA Arad victoire 36%,Nul 29%,Rapid Bucarest victoire 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de