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POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.88 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile34%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur38%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Radomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
34% / 28% / 38%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Double chance1272%1.39
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 58% · Non 42%Les deux équipes marquentOui58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Radomiak Radom win34%2.94
Nul28%3.57
Gornik Zabrze win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Radomiak Radom1.36

Domicile share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Gornik Zabrze1.52

Extérieur share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 58% · Non 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Radomiak Radom

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Gornik Zabrze

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gagné probability excluding draw
38%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
1.52
Radomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Radomiak Radom signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gornik Zabrze signalDomicile won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Radomiak Radom victoire 34%,Nul 28%,Gornik Zabrze victoire 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de