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CHE Suisse - Challenge League · Match ·

Winterthur vs Wil 1900

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile43%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur33%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile43% selection probability
Projected score2–1WinterthurWil 1900
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
43% / 24% / 33%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Double chance1275.8%1.32
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 60% · Non 40%Les deux équipes marquentOui60%1.67
2.98 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Winterthur win43%2.33
Nul24%4.17
Wil 1900 win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Winterthur1.60

Domicile share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

Wil 19001.38

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 60% · Non 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Winterthur

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Wil 1900

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gagné probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.60
Expected goals
1.38
WinterthurWil 1900
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Winterthur signalDomicile unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wil 1900 signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Winterthur vs Wil 1900 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Winterthur victoire 43%,Nul 24%,Wil 1900 victoire 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de