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POL Pologne - IV Liga · Match ·

Ursus Warsaw vs MKS Piaseczno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.55 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile45%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur33%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile45% selection probability
Projected score2–2Ursus WarsawMKS Piaseczno
Expected goals3.55Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de69% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
45% / 22% / 33%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Double chance1277.6%1.29
Plus de 69% · Moins de 31%Goals 2.5Plus de69%1.45
Oui 69% · Non 31%Les deux équipes marquentOui69%1.45
3.55 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ursus Warsaw win45%2.222.0044.9%
Nul22%4.554.0022.4%
MKS Piaseczno win33%3.032.7532.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ursus Warsaw1.94

Domicile share of expected goals 54.6%

Total expected goals3.55Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 69% · Moins de 31%

MKS Piaseczno1.61

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 69% · Non 31%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Ursus Warsaw

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

MKS Piaseczno

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gagné probability excluding draw
33%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
1.61
Ursus WarsawMKS Piaseczno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ursus Warsaw signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MKS Piaseczno signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ursus Warsaw vs MKS Piaseczno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ursus Warsaw victoire 45%,Nul 22%,MKS Piaseczno victoire 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · Plus de 2.5 69% · Current selection Plus de