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ZAF Afrique du Sud - Premier · Final ·

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 3–0
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile74%
Nul17%
Victoire à l’extérieur10%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 74% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile74% selection probability
Projected score3–0Mamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
Expected goals3.21Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
74% / 17% / 10%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Marumo Gallants win (9.8%)Double chance1X90.2%1.11
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 33% · Non 67%Les deux équipes marquentNon67%1.49
3.21 total expected goalsScore exact3–0
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapMamelodi Sundowns winDifference+1.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mamelodi Sundowns win74%1.351.2572.2%+1.8 pp
Nul17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
Marumo Gallants win10%10.008.5010.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mamelodi Sundowns2.78

Domicile share of expected goals 86.6%

Total expected goals3.21Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

Marumo Gallants0.43

Extérieur share of expected goals 13.4%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitOui 33% · Non 67%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Mamelodi Sundowns

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Marumo Gallants

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Gagné probability excluding draw
10%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.78
Expected goals
0.43
Mamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mamelodi Sundowns signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Marumo Gallants signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–0 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mamelodi Sundowns victoire 74%,Nul 17%,Marumo Gallants victoire 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de