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UZB Ouzbékistan - PFL · Match ·

Nasaf Qarshi vs FK Kokand 1912

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.11 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile56%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nasaf QarshiFK Kokand 1912
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
56% / 26% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kokand 1912 win (18.2%)Double chance1X81.8%1.22
Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%Goals 2.5Moins de65%1.54
Oui 34% · Non 66%Les deux équipes marquentNon66%1.52
2.11 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapNasaf Qarshi winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nasaf Qarshi win56%1.791.6255%+1.0 pp
Nul26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
FK Kokand 1912 win18%5.564.7518.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nasaf Qarshi1.56

Domicile share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%

FK Kokand 19120.55

Extérieur share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 34% · Non 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Nasaf Qarshi

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FK Kokand 1912

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.56
Expected goals
0.55
Nasaf QarshiFK Kokand 1912
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nasaf Qarshi signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kokand 1912 signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Nasaf Qarshi vs FK Kokand 1912 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nasaf Qarshi victoire 56%,Nul 26%,FK Kokand 1912 victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Plus de 2.5 35% · Current selection Moins de