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SCO Écosse - League Two · Round 1 ·

Stranraer vs Annan Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score1–1StranraerAnnan Athletic
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 27% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapStranraer winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stranraer win44%2.272.0543.8%+0.2 pp
Nul27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Annan Athletic win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stranraer1.35

Domicile share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Annan Athletic1.16

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Stranraer

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Annan Athletic

0.00pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
1
Points from supplied form
0
1.35
Expected goals
1.16
StranraerAnnan Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stranraer signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Annan Athletic signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Stranraer vs Annan Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stranraer victoire 44%,Nul 27%,Annan Athletic victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de