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DNK Denmark Division 1 · Match ·

Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile55%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Aarhus FremadHB Koge
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
55% / 25% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HB Koge win (20.8%)Double chance1X79.2%1.26
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.52 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aarhus Fremad win55%1.821.7054.8%+0.2 pp
Nul25%4.003.8024.5%+0.5 pp
HB Koge win21%4.764.5020.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aarhus Fremad1.60

Domicile share of expected goals 63.5%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

HB Koge0.92

Extérieur share of expected goals 36.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Aarhus Fremad

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

HB Koge

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.60
Expected goals
0.92
Aarhus FremadHB Koge
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aarhus Fremad signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HB Koge signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aarhus Fremad victoire 55%,Nul 25%,HB Koge victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de