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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Mäng ·

EsPa vs NuPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.40 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit58%
Viik20%
Võõrsilvõit22%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit58% selection probability
Projected score2–1EsPaNuPS
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla57% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
58% / 20% / 22%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)Topeltvõimalus1279.7%1.25
Üle 43% · Alla 57%Goals 2.5Alla57%1.75
Jah 41% · Ei 59%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi59%1.69
2.40 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapNuPS winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
EsPa win58%1.721.5757.1%+0.9 pp
Viik20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
NuPS win22%4.553.9023%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

EsPa1.70

Kodu share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 43% · Alla 57%

NuPS0.70

Võõras share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 41% · Ei 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

EsPa

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

NuPS

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Võit probability excluding draw
22%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.70
Expected goals
0.70
EsPaNuPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01EsPa signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NuPS signalKodu clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

EsPa vs NuPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

EsPa võit 58%,Viik 20%,NuPS võit 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Üle 2.5 43% · Current selection Alla