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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Αγώνας ·

ΕΣΠΑ vs ΝουΠΣ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.40 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου58%
Ισοπαλία20%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου22%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου58% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΕΣΠΑΝουΠΣ
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω57% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
58% / 20% / 22%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1279.7%1.25
Άνω 43% · Κάτω 57%Goals 2.5Κάτω57%1.75
Ναι 41% · Όχι 59%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι59%1.69
2.40 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapΝουΠΣ winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ΕΣΠΑ win58%1.721.5757.1%+0.9 pp
Ισοπαλία20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
ΝουΠΣ win22%4.553.9023%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ΕΣΠΑ1.70

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 43% · Κάτω 57%

ΝουΠΣ0.70

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 41% · Όχι 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

ΕΣΠΑ

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

ΝουΠΣ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
22%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.70
Expected goals
0.70
ΕΣΠΑΝουΠΣ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ΕΣΠΑ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ΝουΠΣ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

ΕΣΠΑ vs ΝουΠΣ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ΕΣΠΑ νίκη 58%,Ισοπαλία 20%,ΝουΠΣ νίκη 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Άνω 2.5 43% · Current selection Κάτω