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VEN Copa de Venezuela · Partido ·

Atletico El Vigia vs Atlético Barinas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local47%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante31%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Atletico El VigiaAtlético Barinas
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
47% / 23% / 31%Resultado del partidoVictoria local47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Doble Oportunidad1277.4%1.29
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 52% · No 48%Ambos equipos marcan52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico El Vigia win47%2.131.9146.8%
Empate23%4.354.0022.4%
Atlético Barinas win31%3.232.9030.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico El Vigia1.53

Local share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

Atlético Barinas1.16

Visitante share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Atletico El Vigia

1.50pts / match
Jugados2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Puntos3

SignalVisitante unbeaten 2/2

Visitante-context · form sequence

Atlético Barinas

3.00pts / match
Jugados2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Puntos6

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Ganado probability excluding draw
31%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.53
Expected goals
1.16
Atletico El VigiaAtlético Barinas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico El Vigia signalVisitante unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético Barinas signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Atletico El Vigia vs Atlético Barinas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico El Vigia ganada 47%,Empate 23%,Atlético Barinas ganada 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de