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VEN Venezuela - Pokal · Spiel ·

Atletico El Vigia vs Atlético Barinas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg31%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Atletico El VigiaAtlético Barinas
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 23% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Doppelte Chance1277.4%1.29
Über 51% · Unter 49%Goals 2.5Über51%1.96
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico El Vigia win47%2.131.9146.8%
Unentschieden23%4.354.0022.4%
Atlético Barinas win31%3.232.9030.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico El Vigia1.53

Heim share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 51% · Unter 49%

Atlético Barinas1.16

Auswärts share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Atletico El Vigia

1.50pts / match
Gespielt2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punkte3

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 2/2

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Atlético Barinas

3.00pts / match
Gespielt2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Punkte6

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.53
Expected goals
1.16
Atletico El VigiaAtlético Barinas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico El Vigia signalAuswärts unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético Barinas signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Atletico El Vigia vs Atlético Barinas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico El Vigia Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 23%,Atlético Barinas Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Über 2.5 51% · Current selection Über