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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Partido ·

Independiente (F) vs Social Atlético Televisión (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.69 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local27%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante44%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Independiente (F)Social Atlético Televisión (F)
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de50% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
27% / 29% / 44%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (F) win (26.9%)Doble OportunidadX273.1%1.37
Más de 50% · Menos de 50%Goals 2.5Más de50%2.00
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.69 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
7.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapSocial Atlético Televisión (F) winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (F) win27%3.703.2027.9%-0.9 pp
Empate29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp
Social Atlético Televisión (F) win44%2.272.1042.4%+1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente (F)0.87

Local share of expected goals 32.3%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 50% · Menos de 50%

Social Atlético Televisión (F)1.82

Visitante share of expected goals 67.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Independiente (F)

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Social Atlético Televisión (F)

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Ganado probability excluding draw
44%
3
Points from supplied form
8
0.87
Expected goals
1.82
Independiente (F)Social Atlético Televisión (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente (F) signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Social Atlético Televisión (F) signalLocal failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente (F) vs Social Atlético Televisión (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente (F) ganada 27%,Empate 29%,Social Atlético Televisión (F) ganada 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Más de 2.5 50% · Current selection Más de