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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Kamp ·

Independiente (K) vs Social Atletico Television (K)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.69 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr27%
Uafgjort29%
Udesejr44%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Independiente (K)Social Atletico Television (K)
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
27% / 29% / 44%KampresultatUdesejr44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (K) win (26.9%)DobbeltchanceX273.1%1.37
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Begge hold scorerNej51%1.96
2.69 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
7.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapSocial Atletico Television (K) winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (K) win27%3.703.2027.9%-0.9 pp
Uafgjort29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp
Social Atletico Television (K) win44%2.272.1042.4%+1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente (K)0.87

Hjemme share of expected goals 32.3%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Social Atletico Television (K)1.82

Ude share of expected goals 67.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Independiente (K)

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Social Atletico Television (K)

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vundet probability excluding draw
44%
3
Points from supplied form
8
0.87
Expected goals
1.82
Independiente (K)Social Atletico Television (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente (K) signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Social Atletico Television (K) signalHjemme failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente (K) vs Social Atletico Television (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente (K) vundet 27%,Uafgjort 29%,Social Atletico Television (K) vundet 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over