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ENG Inglaterra - EFL Cup · Partido ·

Watford vs Crawley Town

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante37%
Baseline forecastVictoria visitanteTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante37% selection probability
Projected score1–1WatfordCrawley Town
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 26% / 37%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Doble Oportunidad1274.2%1.35
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Watford win37%2.70
Empate26%3.85
Crawley Town win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Watford1.34

Local share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

Crawley Town1.36

Visitante share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Watford

1.00pts / match
Jugados3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Puntos3

SignalNo recent signal

Visitante-context · form sequence

Crawley Town

1.50pts / match
Jugados2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Puntos3

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
WatfordCrawley Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Watford signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crawley Town signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Watford vs Crawley Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Watford ganada 37%,Empate 26%,Crawley Town ganada 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de