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ENG England - EFL Cup · Spiel ·

Watford vs Crawley Town

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg37%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1WatfordCrawley Town
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über50% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 26% / 37%SpielergebnisHeimsieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Doppelte Chance1274.1%1.35
Über 50% · Unter 50%Goals 2.5Über50%2.00
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Watford win37%2.70
Unentschieden26%3.85
Crawley Town win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Watford1.35

Heim share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 50% · Unter 50%

Crawley Town1.34

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Watford

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Crawley Town

1.50pts / match
Gespielt2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punkte3

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.35
Expected goals
1.34
WatfordCrawley Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Watford signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crawley Town signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Watford vs Crawley Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Watford Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 26%,Crawley Town Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Über 2.5 50% · Current selection Über