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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers F.C.

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.02 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local55%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Shandong TaishanTianjin Jinmen Tigers F.C.
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
55% / 24% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tianjin Jinmen Tigers F.C. win (20.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X79.1%1.26
Más de 58% · Menos de 42%Goals 2.5Más de58%1.72
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
3.02 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapShandong Taishan winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shandong Taishan win55%1.821.6755.6%-0.6 pp
Empate24%4.173.9023.8%+0.2 pp
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers F.C. win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shandong Taishan1.81

Local share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 58% · Menos de 42%

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers F.C.1.21

Visitante share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Shandong Taishan

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers F.C.

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.81
Expected goals
1.21
Shandong TaishanTianjin Jinmen Tigers F.C.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shandong Taishan signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tianjin Jinmen Tigers F.C. signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers F.C. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shandong Taishan ganada 55%,Empate 24%,Tianjin Jinmen Tigers F.C. ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Más de 2.5 58% · Current selection Más de