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MOZ Mozambique - Mocambola · Partido ·

Ferroviário de Lichinga vs UD Songo

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local46%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante27%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ferroviário de LichingaUD Songo
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
46% / 27% / 27%Resultado del partidoVictoria local46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Songo win (26.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.1%1.37
Más de 42% · Menos de 58%Goals 2.5Menos de58%1.72
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Ferroviário de Lichinga win46%2.17
Empate27%3.70
UD Songo win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferroviário de Lichinga1.36

Local share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 42% · Menos de 58%

UD Songo0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Ferroviário de Lichinga

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

UD Songo

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganado probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.36
Expected goals
0.98
Ferroviário de LichingaUD Songo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferroviário de Lichinga signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Songo signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ferroviário de Lichinga vs UD Songo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferroviário de Lichinga ganada 46%,Empate 27%,UD Songo ganada 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Más de 2.5 42% · Current selection Menos de