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ENG Inglaterra - Isthmian Premier Division · Partido ·

St. Albans vs Chatham Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local38%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local38% selection probability
Projected score1–1St. AlbansChatham Town
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de53% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
38% / 29% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Doble Oportunidad1270.8%1.41
Más de 47% · Menos de 53%Goals 2.5Menos de53%1.89
Sí 53% · No 47%Ambos equipos marcan53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
St. Albans win38%2.63
Empate29%3.45
Chatham Town win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St. Albans1.36

Local share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 47% · Menos de 53%

Chatham Town1.21

Visitante share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

St. Albans

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Chatham Town

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.36
Expected goals
1.21
St. AlbansChatham Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St. Albans signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chatham Town signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

St. Albans vs Chatham Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St. Albans ganada 38%,Empate 29%,Chatham Town ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Más de 2.5 47% · Current selection Menos de