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ENG England - Isthmian Premier Division · Spiel ·

St Albans vs Chatham Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg33%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1St AlbansChatham Town
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 29% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Doppelte Chance1270.8%1.41
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
St Albans win38%2.63
Unentschieden29%3.45
Chatham Town win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Albans1.36

Heim share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

Chatham Town1.21

Auswärts share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

St Albans

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Chatham Town

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.36
Expected goals
1.21
St AlbansChatham Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Albans signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chatham Town signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

St Albans vs Chatham Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Albans Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 29%,Chatham Town Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter