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HRV Kroatien - HNL · Final ·

Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score4–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg45%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg29%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
45% / 26% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Doppelte Chance1274.1%1.35
Über 42% · Unter 58%Goals 2.5Unter58%1.72
Ja 42% · Nein 58%Beide Teams treffenNein58%1.72
2.36 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapNK Osijek winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hajduk Split win45%2.222.0544.1%+0.9 pp
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
NK Osijek win29%3.453.0030.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hajduk Split1.65

Heim share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 42% · Unter 58%

NK Osijek0.71

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nein 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Hajduk Split

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

NK Osijek

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.65
Expected goals
0.71
Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hajduk Split signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Osijek signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hajduk Split Gewinn 45%,Unentschieden 26%,NK Osijek Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Über 2.5 42% · Current selection Unter