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ISL Island - 1. Liga · Spiel ·

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavík

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–35.55 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score3–3Fram ReykjavikKR Reykjavík
Expected goals5.55Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über91% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa88% for the selected side
Expected corners12.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 22% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.7%)Doppelte Chance1278.3%1.28
Über 91% · Unter 9%Goals 2.5Über91%1.10
Ja 88% · Nein 12%Beide Teams treffenJa88%1.14
5.55 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–3
12.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Fram Reykjavik win44%2.27
Unentschieden22%4.55
KR Reykjavík win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram Reykjavik3.02

Heim share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals5.55Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 91% · Unter 9%

KR Reykjavík2.53

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score3–3BTTS splitJa 88% · Nein 12%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

KR Reykjavík

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
11
Points from supplied form
8
3.02
Expected goals
2.53
Fram ReykjavikKR Reykjavík
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram Reykjavik signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KR Reykjavík signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavík FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–3 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram Reykjavik Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 22%,KR Reykjavík Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.55 · Über 2.5 91% · Current selection Über