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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Spiel ·

FC Salzburg vs FK Austria Wien

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg50%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg24%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg50% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC SalzburgFK Austria Wien
Expected goals3.08Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
50% / 26% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Austria Wien win (23.7%)Doppelte Chance1X76.3%1.31
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 57% · Nein 43%Beide Teams treffenJa57%1.75
3.08 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
FC Salzburg win50%2.00
Unentschieden26%3.85
FK Austria Wien win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Salzburg2.01

Heim share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals3.08Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

FK Austria Wien1.07

Auswärts share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nein 43%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Salzburg

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FK Austria Wien

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
6
2.01
Expected goals
1.07
FC SalzburgFK Austria Wien
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Salzburg signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Austria Wien signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Salzburg vs FK Austria Wien FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Salzburg Gewinn 50%,Unentschieden 26%,FK Austria Wien Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über