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AUS Australia South Australia State League Reserves · Final ·

Salisbury United - Reserve vs South Adelaide Reserves

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score0–3Prognose 1–2
Auswärts form
Heimsieg12%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg66%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 66% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg66% selection probability
Projected score1–2Salisbury United - ReserveSouth Adelaide Reserves
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
12% / 22% / 66%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Salisbury United - Reserve win (12.3%)Doppelte ChanceX287.7%1.14
Über 57% · Unter 43%Goals 2.5Über57%1.75
Ja 40% · Nein 60%Beide Teams treffenNein60%1.67
2.97 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Salisbury United - Reserve win12%8.33
Unentschieden22%4.55
South Adelaide Reserves win66%1.52

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Salisbury United - Reserve0.56

Heim share of expected goals 18.9%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 57% · Unter 43%

South Adelaide Reserves2.41

Auswärts share of expected goals 81.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 40% · Nein 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Salisbury United - Reserve

0.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

South Adelaide Reserves

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
12%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
66%
0
Points from supplied form
11
0.56
Expected goals
2.41
Salisbury United - ReserveSouth Adelaide Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Salisbury United - Reserve signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Adelaide Reserves signalHeim failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Salisbury United - Reserve vs South Adelaide Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Salisbury United - Reserve Gewinn 12%,Unentschieden 22%,South Adelaide Reserves Gewinn 66%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Über 2.5 57% · Current selection Über