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FIN Finnland - Kolmonen · Spiel ·

KuPS Akatemia II vs Yllatys

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–14.04 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score3–1KuPS Akatemia IIYllatys
Expected goals4.04Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über77% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 21% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Doppelte Chance1278.7%1.27
Über 77% · Unter 23%Goals 2.5Über77%1.30
Ja 71% · Nein 29%Beide Teams treffenJa71%1.41
4.04 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapYllatys winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KuPS Akatemia II win48%2.081.9147.2%+0.8 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.2021.5%-0.5 pp
Yllatys win30%3.332.8831.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KuPS Akatemia II2.61

Heim share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals4.04Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 77% · Unter 23%

Yllatys1.43

Auswärts share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 71% · Nein 29%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

KuPS Akatemia II

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Yllatys

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
6
2.61
Expected goals
1.43
KuPS Akatemia IIYllatys
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KuPS Akatemia II signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Yllatys signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

KuPS Akatemia II vs Yllatys FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KuPS Akatemia II Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 21%,Yllatys Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Über 2.5 77% · Current selection Über