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NOR Norwegen - 1. Division · Round 14 ·

Haugesund vs Raufoss

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score4–15.00 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg71%
Unentschieden16%
Auswärtssieg14%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg71% selection probability
Projected score4–1HaugesundRaufoss
Expected goals5.00Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über88% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
71% / 16% / 14%SpielergebnisHeimsieg71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Raufoss win (13.6%)Doppelte Chance1X86.4%1.16
Über 88% · Unter 12%Goals 2.5Über88%1.14
Ja 69% · Nein 31%Beide Teams treffenJa69%1.45
5.00 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis4–1
11.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.0%Largest probability gapHaugesund winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Haugesund win71%1.411.3369.6%+1.4 pp
Unentschieden16%6.255.7516.1%-0.1 pp
Raufoss win14%7.146.5014.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Haugesund3.77

Heim share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals5.00Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 88% · Unter 12%

Raufoss1.23

Auswärts share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 69% · Nein 31%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Haugesund

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Raufoss

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
9
3.77
Expected goals
1.23
HaugesundRaufoss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Haugesund signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Raufoss signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Haugesund vs Raufoss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 4–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Haugesund Gewinn 71%,Unentschieden 16%,Raufoss Gewinn 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.00 · Über 2.5 88% · Current selection Über