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NOR Norwegen - 1. Division · Spiel ·

Sandnes Ulf vs Hodd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sandnes UlfHodd
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 28% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Doppelte Chance1271.6%1.40
Über 51% · Unter 49%Goals 2.5Über51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nein 46%Beide Teams treffenJa54%1.85
2.71 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
11.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Sandnes Ulf win42%2.38
Unentschieden28%3.57
Hodd win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sandnes Ulf1.55

Heim share of expected goals 57.2%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 51% · Unter 49%

Hodd1.16

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nein 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sandnes Ulf

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Hodd

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.55
Expected goals
1.16
Sandnes UlfHodd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sandnes Ulf signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hodd signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sandnes Ulf vs Hodd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sandnes Ulf Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 28%,Hodd Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Über 2.5 51% · Current selection Über