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DEU Deutschland - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

FC Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.47 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC Viktoria KölnJahn Regensburg
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 30% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Doppelte Chance1270.5%1.42
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenJa50%2.00
2.47 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
FC Viktoria Köln win39%2.56
Unentschieden30%3.33
Jahn Regensburg win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Viktoria Köln1.36

Heim share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

Jahn Regensburg1.11

Auswärts share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Viktoria Köln

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Jahn Regensburg

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.36
Expected goals
1.11
FC Viktoria KölnJahn Regensburg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Viktoria Köln signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jahn Regensburg signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FC Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Viktoria Köln Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 30%,Jahn Regensburg Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter