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AUT Österreich - Regionalliga Ost · Spiel ·

Parndorf vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score2–1ParndorfFC Marchfeld Donauauen
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 23% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Doppelte Chance1277.2%1.30
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenNein50%2.00
2.57 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapParndorf winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parndorf win44%2.272.1042.9%+1.1 pp
Unentschieden23%4.354.0022.5%+0.5 pp
FC Marchfeld Donauauen win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parndorf1.60

Heim share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

FC Marchfeld Donauauen0.97

Auswärts share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Parndorf

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.60
Expected goals
0.97
ParndorfFC Marchfeld Donauauen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parndorf signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Marchfeld Donauauen signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Parndorf vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parndorf Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 23%,FC Marchfeld Donauauen Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter