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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Spiel ·

Sol de America de Formosa vs Defensores de Belgrano VR

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg25%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sol de America de FormosaDefensores de Belgrano VR
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 31% / 25%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores de Belgrano VR win (25.3%)Doppelte Chance1X74.7%1.34
Über 34% · Unter 66%Goals 2.5Unter66%1.52
Ja 39% · Nein 61%Beide Teams treffenNein61%1.64
2.05 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Sol de America de Formosa win43%2.33
Unentschieden31%3.23
Defensores de Belgrano VR win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sol de America de Formosa1.28

Heim share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 34% · Unter 66%

Defensores de Belgrano VR0.77

Auswärts share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nein 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sol de America de Formosa

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Defensores de Belgrano VR

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
25%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.28
Expected goals
0.77
Sol de America de FormosaDefensores de Belgrano VR
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sol de America de Formosa signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores de Belgrano VR signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sol de America de Formosa vs Defensores de Belgrano VR FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sol de America de Formosa Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 31%,Defensores de Belgrano VR Gewinn 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Über 2.5 34% · Current selection Unter