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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–0Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden35%
Auswärtssieg26%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA San MiguelCA Colegiales
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter79% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 35% / 26%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Colegiales win (26.4%)Doppelte Chance1X73.6%1.36
Über 21% · Unter 79%Goals 2.5Unter79%1.27
Ja 30% · Nein 70%Beide Teams treffenNein70%1.43
1.57 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.0 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA San Miguel win39%2.562.4039.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden35%2.862.7034.8%+0.2 pp
CA Colegiales win26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA San Miguel0.81

Heim share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 21% · Unter 79%

CA Colegiales0.76

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 30% · Nein 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CA San Miguel

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.81
Expected goals
0.76
CA San MiguelCA Colegiales
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA San Miguel signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Colegiales signalHeim failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA San Miguel Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 35%,CA Colegiales Gewinn 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Über 2.5 21% · Current selection Unter