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FRA Frankreich - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Boulogne vs Nancy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1BoulogneNancy
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 29% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Doppelte Chance1271.2%1.40
Über 44% · Unter 56%Goals 2.5Unter56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenJa50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapNancy winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boulogne win37%2.702.5036.9%+0.1 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.2028.9%+0.1 pp
Nancy win34%2.942.7034.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boulogne1.29

Heim share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 44% · Unter 56%

Nancy1.16

Auswärts share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Boulogne

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Nancy

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.29
Expected goals
1.16
BoulogneNancy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boulogne signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nancy signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Boulogne vs Nancy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boulogne Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 29%,Nancy Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Über 2.5 44% · Current selection Unter