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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Audax SP U20 vs Referencia FC U20

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–0Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg29%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Audax SP U20Referencia FC U20
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 28% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Doppelte Chance1272.1%1.39
Über 37% · Unter 63%Goals 2.5Unter63%1.59
Ja 40% · Nein 60%Beide Teams treffenNein60%1.67
2.16 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapReferencia FC U20 winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Audax SP U20 win43%2.332.1042.4%+0.6 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Referencia FC U20 win29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Audax SP U201.42

Heim share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 37% · Unter 63%

Referencia FC U200.74

Auswärts share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nein 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Audax SP U20

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Referencia FC U20

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.42
Expected goals
0.74
Audax SP U20Referencia FC U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Audax SP U20 signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Referencia FC U20 signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Audax SP U20 vs Referencia FC U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Audax SP U20 Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 28%,Referencia FC U20 Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Über 2.5 37% · Current selection Unter