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EST Estland - Esiliiga B · Kamp ·

Levadia Tallinn III vs JK Tabasalu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–14.51 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr68%
Uafgjort16%
Udesejr16%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr68% selection probability
Projected score3–1Levadia Tallinn IIIJK Tabasalu
Expected goals4.51Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over83% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
68% / 16% / 16%KampresultatHjemmesejr68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Tabasalu win (15.8%)Dobbeltchance1X84.2%1.19
Over 83% · Under 17%Goals 2.5Over83%1.20
Ja 69% · Nej 31%Begge hold scorerJa69%1.45
4.51 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapLevadia Tallinn III winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Levadia Tallinn III win68%1.471.3367.4%+0.6 pp
Uafgjort16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp
JK Tabasalu win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levadia Tallinn III3.25

Hjemme share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals4.51Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 83% · Under 17%

JK Tabasalu1.26

Ude share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 69% · Nej 31%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Levadia Tallinn III

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

JK Tabasalu

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vundet probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
9
3.25
Expected goals
1.26
Levadia Tallinn IIIJK Tabasalu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levadia Tallinn III signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Tabasalu signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Levadia Tallinn III vs JK Tabasalu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Levadia Tallinn III vundet 68%,Uafgjort 16%,JK Tabasalu vundet 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.51 · Over 2.5 83% · Current selection Over