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CYP Cypern - 1. division · Kamp ·

Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr39%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr33%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Aris LimassolApollon Limassol
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
39% / 28% / 33%KampresultatHjemmesejr39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Dobbeltchance1271.8%1.39
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Begge hold scorerJa58%1.72
2.83 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Aris Limassol win39%2.56
Uafgjort28%3.57
Apollon Limassol win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aris Limassol1.51

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Apollon Limassol1.32

Ude share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Aris Limassol

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Apollon Limassol

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalUde won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vundet probability excluding draw
33%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.51
Expected goals
1.32
Aris LimassolApollon Limassol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aris Limassol signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Apollon Limassol signalUde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aris Limassol vundet 39%,Uafgjort 28%,Apollon Limassol vundet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over