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NLD Nederlandene - Eerste Divisie · Kamp ·

Vitesse vs RKC Waalvijk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr38%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr37%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr38% selection probability
Projected score2–1VitesseRKC Waalvijk
Expected goals3.27Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
38% / 25% / 37%KampresultatHjemmesejr38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dobbeltchance1275.3%1.33
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Begge hold scorerJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vitesse win38%2.632.4538%0.0 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.7524.8%+0.2 pp
RKC Waalvijk win37%2.702.5037.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vitesse1.77

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals3.27Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

RKC Waalvijk1.50

Ude share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Vitesse

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Point9

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

RKC Waalvijk

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vundet probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.50
VitesseRKC Waalvijk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vitesse signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02RKC Waalvijk signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Vitesse vs RKC Waalvijk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vitesse vundet 38%,Uafgjort 25%,RKC Waalvijk vundet 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over