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SVN Slovenien - Prva Liga · Final ·

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–0Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr48%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr27%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr48% selection probability
Projected score2–1NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
48% / 25% / 27%KampresultatHjemmesejr48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dobbeltchance1274.9%1.34
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Begge hold scorerNej51%1.96
2.67 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapNK Celje winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Celje win48%2.081.9546.5%+1.5 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.6025.2%-0.2 pp
Olimpija Ljubljana win27%3.703.2028.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Celje1.81

Hjemme share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Olimpija Ljubljana0.86

Ude share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

NK Celje

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Point4

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Olimpija Ljubljana

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vundet probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.81
Expected goals
0.86
NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Celje signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olimpija Ljubljana signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Celje vundet 48%,Uafgjort 25%,Olimpija Ljubljana vundet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under