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HRV Kroatien - HNL · Kamp ·

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.13 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr17%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr60%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr60% selection probability
Projected score1–2Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Expected goals3.13Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
17% / 23% / 60%KampresultatUdesejr60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Istra 1961 win (17.4%)DobbeltchanceX282.6%1.21
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Begge hold scorerNej50%2.00
3.13 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDinamo Zagreb winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Istra 1961 win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp
Uafgjort23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Dinamo Zagreb win60%1.671.5358.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Istra 19610.80

Hjemme share of expected goals 25.6%

Total expected goals3.13Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Dinamo Zagreb2.33

Ude share of expected goals 74.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Istra 1961

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Dinamo Zagreb

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalUde unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Vundet probability excluding draw
60%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.80
Expected goals
2.33
Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Istra 1961 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dinamo Zagreb signalUde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Istra 1961 vundet 17%,Uafgjort 23%,Dinamo Zagreb vundet 60%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over