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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Crvena Zvezda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.69 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr27%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr44%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr44% selection probability
Projected score1–2FK Zeleznicar PancevoCrvena Zvezda
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
27% / 28% / 44%KampresultatUdesejr44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win (27.4%)DobbeltchanceX272.6%1.38
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Begge hold scorerJa53%1.89
2.69 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win27%3.70
Uafgjort28%3.57
Crvena Zvezda win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1.07

Hjemme share of expected goals 39.8%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Crvena Zvezda1.62

Ude share of expected goals 60.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Crvena Zvezda

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vundet probability excluding draw
44%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.07
Expected goals
1.62
FK Zeleznicar PancevoCrvena Zvezda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zeleznicar Pancevo signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crvena Zvezda signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Crvena Zvezda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vundet 27%,Uafgjort 28%,Crvena Zvezda vundet 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over