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CHL Chile - Segunda · Kamp ·

Provincial Osorno vs Concon National

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr45%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr28%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Provincial OsornoConcon National
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
45% / 28% / 28%KampresultatHjemmesejr45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Concon National win (27.6%)Dobbeltchance1X72.4%1.38
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Ja 43% · Nej 57%Begge hold scorerNej57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Provincial Osorno win45%2.222.0044.8%+0.2 pp
Uafgjort28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Concon National win28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Provincial Osorno1.21

Hjemme share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Concon National0.93

Ude share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nej 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Provincial Osorno

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Point7

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Concon National

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vundet probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
13
1.21
Expected goals
0.93
Provincial OsornoConcon National
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Provincial Osorno signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Concon National signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Provincial Osorno vs Concon National FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Provincial Osorno vundet 45%,Uafgjort 28%,Concon National vundet 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under